SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
600 PM PDT SUN MAR 30 2008
From NWSFO PDX ! Doesn't surprise me that this week, we've had snow, rain, sun, hail, wind, lightning, thunder, and now Funnel Cloud. Welcome to a La Nina spring in the Northwest !
Bobby
ORZ007-310900-
CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...MCMINNVILLE...DALLAS
600 PM PDT SUN MAR 30 2008
...FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NEAR WOODBURN IN MARION COUNTY...
AT 547 PM PDT THE PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 5 MILES SOUTH OF
WOODBURN IN MARION COUNTY AND THEN LOST SIGHT OF IT SHORTLY AFTER THAT.
IT MOST LIKELY DISSIPATED SHORTLY AFTER IT FORMED. THE AIR MASS IS
UNSTABLE AND IT IS NOT UNCOMMON FOR THESE TYPES OF FUNNELS TO FORM
IN THIS WEATHER PATTERN. IT IS MUCH LESS LIKELY FOR ONE TO TOUCH
DOWN ON THE GROUND. IF THEY DO HOWEVER THEY CAN CAUSE DAMAGE.
Sunday, March 30, 2008
Monday, March 10, 2008
U.S. Tsunami Warning System Complete !
Thursday, March 6, 2008
The Weather Channel Bidding War Begins !
The New York Times is reporting that several media companies are ready to bid for Landmark Communications number one property, The Weather Channel. Landmark has set a deadline for this Friday, March 7th, for bids to be submitted. You can read the story here.
It will be interesting to see who makes the most aggressive bid. The key thing to remember is that while the cable network is valuable, the website weather.com is the most valuable piece of the puzzle. If I had to make a guess, I think General Electric (Parent Company of NBC) will take the prize and join The Weather Channel with Weather Plus. If Weather Plus and The Weather Channel do end up merging, you have the most powerful news operation and weather network under one roof. That's a very powerful combination.
It will be interesting to see who makes the most aggressive bid. The key thing to remember is that while the cable network is valuable, the website weather.com is the most valuable piece of the puzzle. If I had to make a guess, I think General Electric (Parent Company of NBC) will take the prize and join The Weather Channel with Weather Plus. If Weather Plus and The Weather Channel do end up merging, you have the most powerful news operation and weather network under one roof. That's a very powerful combination.
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Oregon AMS Temp Trek This Saturday
The annual temp trek takes place this Saturday. If you are interested in joining us, please shoot an email my way or to Drew Jackson at KPTV. We will get started around 7am at different points around the metro area and then join up in a group downtown around 8am. The data we all gather will be turned into some excellent maps and we will review them at the next AMS meeting in March !
Monday, February 18, 2008
Long Range Forecast Results
Congrats to KPTV and KGW. Both stations scored a total of 13 points for the extended contest. KATU scored 10 points and KOIN scored 9. The low temps forecasts by each station were extremely accurate, mostly 1-2 degrees difference off the actual low. I've had some good feed back on this, so I think I will plan to do this again soon.
Daily Forecast Results
The results are in following the week long daily forecast contest. Before I post the scores, which were very close, I will say all the stations did really well with the actual weather. The temps were the one thing that really messed with the scoring. And the winners are....
T-1
KOIN 15 pts
NWS 15 pts
T-3
KGW 13 pts
KPTV 13 pts
5th: KATU 12 pts
KOIN was the most consistent day to day. KPTV and KGW remained tied since the forecast contest started. KATU came on strong the last two days, scoring the most points.
The results of the Extended Forecast Contest will be posted later.
T-1
KOIN 15 pts
NWS 15 pts
T-3
KGW 13 pts
KPTV 13 pts
5th: KATU 12 pts
KOIN was the most consistent day to day. KPTV and KGW remained tied since the forecast contest started. KATU came on strong the last two days, scoring the most points.
The results of the Extended Forecast Contest will be posted later.
Monday, February 11, 2008
PDX Weather Watch
So you want to know how accurate your favorite TV station's weather department is ? This week I will be monitoring and recording the forecasts from KATU, KOIN, KGW, and KPTV. I will do two forecast contests, daily weather for Portland and an extended forecast break down.
Daily Forecast Test will look at these three pieces of info: High Temp, Wind Forecast, and Weather Forecasted (ie showers, sun)
Extended Forecast Test will compare High/Low Temp and Weather Forecasted
The rules for the Daily Test are as follows:
Exact temp = 3 points
-1 or +1 = 2 points
-2 or +2 = 1 point
-3 or +3 = 0 points
Weather Forecasted / Wind Forecasted:
This will be based on Weather Observations at PDX. It will be judged in 1/3rds.
If you say showers Morning and Afternoon, you get two points. Showers all day, and it verifys, 3 points.
Rules for Extended Forecast Test:
High / Low Forecast Temps:
Exact temp = 3 points
-1 or +1 = 2 points
-2 or +2 = 1 point
-3 or +3 = 0 points
Weather Forecasted:
Since this is a forecast based on one day, I will judge it as so. If you say showers, and it rains at PDX, then you get a point. Very Simple
Daily Forecast Test will look at these three pieces of info: High Temp, Wind Forecast, and Weather Forecasted (ie showers, sun)
Extended Forecast Test will compare High/Low Temp and Weather Forecasted
The rules for the Daily Test are as follows:
Exact temp = 3 points
-1 or +1 = 2 points
-2 or +2 = 1 point
-3 or +3 = 0 points
Weather Forecasted / Wind Forecasted:
This will be based on Weather Observations at PDX. It will be judged in 1/3rds.
If you say showers Morning and Afternoon, you get two points. Showers all day, and it verifys, 3 points.
Rules for Extended Forecast Test:
High / Low Forecast Temps:
Exact temp = 3 points
-1 or +1 = 2 points
-2 or +2 = 1 point
-3 or +3 = 0 points
Weather Forecasted:
Since this is a forecast based on one day, I will judge it as so. If you say showers, and it rains at PDX, then you get a point. Very Simple
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